UEFL Analysis of the Hernandez v MLB suit. |
Hernandez also asked the court to place an injunction against MLB (from, say, retaliation for statements made related to these proceedings), and to grant a jury trial.
Read the full narrative of Hernandez's July 3 complaint here: Angel Hernandez Sues MLB for Racial Discrimination (7/3/17).
Disclosure: The following analysis is theoretical, opinionated, and contains no findings of fact relative to any specific cases. It is based on hypothetical situations of how proceedings might play out, and in no way attributes any statements, characteristics, or findings to the individuals mentioned. The themes, topics, and theories discussed may be uncomfortable for some readers.
Analysis: Hernandez's complaint makes strong and repeated claims against MLB Chief Baseball Officer Joe Torre, stating that before Torre's arrival in the Commissioner's Office, Hernandez's evaluations were positive and trending upward, but after Torre's arrival in 2011, the evaluations took a downturn into less-than-satisfactory territory.
The reason this is so important to note is that, ordinarily, an employee does not have a strong cause of action against his/her employer, simply because of a belief that the boss is acting unfairly. Similarly, a lawsuit will not be successful if the claim simply states that one manager or, perhaps, bad boss, is responsible for negatively evaluating an employee.
Paul Emmel ejects Joe Torre. |
It is difficult to believe that any boss under suit would admit to such meddling without even bothering to observe their employee. Simply put, if Torre says Hernandez hasn't changed since 2001, that's all there is to his defense: As Hernandez's boss, he's allowed to say it.
Timeline of Hernandez's pre-suit actions. |
As an aside, it probably helps support Torre's "put yourself in the spotlight" comment that Hernandez's first game since filing his lawsuit was the 2017 All-Star Game. Both sides knew well in advance of the filing of the lawsuit that Hernandez had been selected to officiate the All-Star Game, and both sides knew of Hernandez's scheduled week off the field from July 3 through the All-Star Break (umpire schedules are generally predetermined).
Thus, Hernandez must consider a different strategy that is legally actionable. There are two ways to go here. Both relate to discrimination, the first of which is covered under Title I of the Americans with Disability Act (ADA) and the second under Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964.
Oddly enough, tantrum behavior is...fun? |
...Heaven forbid an umpire ever fights back. |
Civ Rights: Because Hernandez identifies as Latino in his Complaint, discrimination based on a protected characteristic is a much more suitable course of action: no diagnoses, no doctors, no third-degree: Hernandez has a Cuban heritage and that's it. The Civil Rights Act prohibits employers from discriminating against employees based on race, color, national origin, sex, and religion. Hernandez's protected characteristic is "Latino."
Perhaps it is easier to define what is not protected under Title VII than that which is:
Race: Caucasian;
Color: White;
National Origin: United States of America;
Religion: Christian;
Sex: Male.
The race/color/nat origin route also allows Hernandez to cite statistics that go beyond Torre's critical evaluations and into MLB's overall hiring and promotion history (as alluded to by Paragraph 66, as above).
Not all foreign-born umps go full-time. |
Objective measures would prove most helpful for MLB, as such standard evaluative practices would demonstrate MLB's business operation and personnel movement is not based on subjective conjecture, but rather substantive and logical calculation. As long as the methods are consistently applied to all of its employees—and, moreover, MLB is able to convincingly demonstrate this—then proving unlawful discrimination will be difficult.
Race Composition of Umpires and Supervisors: Hernandez makes some pretty incredible observations about umpires and race statistics, notably that a permanent minority crew chief hasn't existed in the major leagues since the days of AL and NL staffs, with Crew Chief Rich Garcia, who led an American League crew from 1985 through his final game in 1999, when MLB accepted his resignation. Instead of returning to the playing field thereafter, Garcia joined the Commissioner's Office and served as an Umpire Supervisor from 2002 to 2010, when he, Marty Springstead, and Jim McKean were ousted as the result of events that occurred during the 2009 postseason.
Chuck Meriwether has Sup'd since 2011. |
Four (Gonzalez [2013], Morales [2017], Porter [2013], and Torres [2017]) were hired since Torre took office, and all four filled spots previously held by caucasian umpires.
Carlos Torres was hired to the staff in 2017. |
To prove Major League Baseball engaged in a pattern of racially-motivated discrimination, Hernandez would need to find evidence that deserving minority umpires were denied justly deserved promotions and assignments at the expense of their non-protected colleagues. Again, this goes back to the existence of objective criteria and evaluations mentioned above, and the quality of MLB's paperwork will determine whether these claims are supported or refuted.
If we are to believe, as we are told, that postseason assignments are an award for exceptional in-season performance, we can surmise that those umpires with routine postseason assignments in the later rounds (e.g., League Championship Series and World Series) are those that MLB has routinely rated the highest on staff. These are surely not the only objective measures MLB has to offer, but they are amongst the only ones that are public knowledge. In his complaint, Hernandez makes specific reference to the World Series, so we'll discuss Fall Classic assignments.
Sampling 'Bubble' White and Latino Umpires for Promotion: Take the case of Alfonso Marquez (Latino), who had officiated three World Series (2006, 11, 15) before his newly-promoted crew chief, Larry Vanover (white), had officiated even one (2016); Fonzie still has more postseason experience than other newer white crew chiefs, such as Fieldin Culbreth (two WS), Sam Holbrook (two WS, 2010 & '16) Paul Emmel (one WS, '13) and Jerry Meals (one WS, '14), yet Marquez himself is not a crew chief. The experience advantage extends to earlier postseason play (e.g., the League Championship Series) as well.
By contrast, Hernandez has officiated two World Series (2002, 05) [beats Vanover, and ties all others, except Marquez, who outpaces Hernandez by one].
Marquez's #s sure look promotion-worthy... |
By contrast, Hernandez's .389 RAP ranked 65th in 2016 (beats only Meals), .579 RAP ranked 26th in 2015 (beats Vanover and Meals), and .450 RAP ranked 58th in 2014 (beats only Emmel).
Why Marquez was not promoted at the expense of less-experienced and less-accurate white umpires is a conundrum, but one that MLB as a private entity has the right to keep secret (perhaps, until Hernandez's suit goes to trial [if it gets that far]; if Marquez never actually sought promotion, that'll be disclosed at discovery). As for Hernandez, personally, he doesn't stand above-and-beyond as Marquez does—on these specific metrics. Still, Marquez's non-promotion bolsters Hernandez's claim, especially when Fieldin Culbreth, as Crew Chief, in 2013 was suspended for incorrectly applying baseball rules during a pitching change sequence in Houston...yet Hernandez received comments from Torre criticizing his own rules knowledge.
General Discrimination (Race/Religion/Sex): Finally, the underlying message is one of systematic discrimination that begins all the way at the bottom of professional baseball, at PBUC/MiLBUD's hiring program for the Rookie Leagues, and for every promotional step along the way. To get into those statistics would surely take weeks to discuss, suffice it to say, but I have a theory—and it doesn't seem too absurd—that the composition of students at the two Umpiring Schools (Wendelstedt's HWS, and MiLB's TUS) are still majority-white, Christian, and male.
It's a historical perspective: In the past, I'd surmise that the racial makeup of each class was less diverse (thus, more white), and that in recent times, that composition has trended toward more equitable representation. It's a slippery slope argument to extract the precise reason for underrepresentation at school, and there are likely many causes.
First, the schools' cost can prove prohibitive to poorer students, who may trend toward racial minority status. To address the cost, MLB, MiLB and similar entities have instituted scholarships.
Second, there may exist an "ambition gap" wherein certain underrepresented groups (e.g., women [*administrative note* women aren't minorities]) remain underrepresented due to a lack of interest in the profession. Emerge America: Women Leaders for a Democratic Future, for instance, found that "the greatest hurdle for women in achieving gender parity in politics is not in the number of votes they get or their level of fundraising. It's overcoming the political ambition gap and convincing more women to run for office."
Third, and this is related to the ambition gap, if a potential umpire doesn't feel like (s)he will be successful in professional baseball, that person will likely not seek to attend school.
SABR demonstration of MLB's ethnic makeup. |
Bear in mind that when Hernandez debuted in 1991, just 16% of players were Latino. Considering the amount of time it takes the average umpire to break into the Majors, even with the league's racial composition on the rise, umpiring's distribution, by necessity, will likely always be behind the curve, unless intervention causes the balance to skew by promoting umpires too quickly or keeping them in the minor league game too long.
Comparison, Racial Makeup of MLB Players vs Racial Makeup of MLB [Full-Time] Umpires:
Players: In 2007 ("10 years ago"), 26.1% of players were Latino. In 2016, it was 27.4%.
Umpires: In 2007, 5% of umpires were Latino. In 2016, it was 5.4%. In 2017, it's 7.9%.
*Non-Hispanic Black Players, 2007: 8.5%; 2016: 6.7%.
*Non-Hispanic Black Umpires, 2007: 4.4%; 2016: 4.0%.
*Asian Players, 2007: 2.2%; 2016: 2.1%. Asian Umpires, Both Years: 0.0%.
Putting it another way, 86.8% of 2017's umpires are white. By contrast, the last time 86.8% of MLB players were white was 1958. The last time only 7.9% of the league's players were Latino was 1961, and the last time 4.0% were black was 1953.
The natural question here is whether these percentages correspond to the umpires coming out of school (~10 years prior to the respective marks). If the statistics are comparable, we go back to the school attendance and ambition gap, and posit a theory as to why minorities are underrepresented at school. If not, we need to dig deeper.
We'll have more on this tomorrow...
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